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143 ArticlesMacronomics

6 / 15

Macronomics: Service Exports Fall Nearly 20%, Saudi Remittances May Be Under Threat

What’s with Trade? In this post we cover trade issues: • The overall trade deficit (goods) is low but total trade has collapsed • In particular ...

May 17, 2016

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Macronomics: Strange Warnings in Macro Banking Data Shows Credit-Fed Housing Bubble As Industry Stalls

The macro world of banking always fascinates us – here’s some graphs and data on how our banking situation is: • Very Low Credit and Deposit ...

May 04, 2016

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Macronomics: Forex Reserves Hit A High After March, But Rupee Depreciation Looms Over The Horizon

In Macronomics today: • Forex reserves rise to $360 billion, the highest ever, with over $13 billion added in March 2016 alone • Rate of growth is ...

Apr 11, 2016

Macronomics: Long Bonds Trade at 8.4%, Highest in over a Year, as Market Gets Jitters over the Budget

The fixed income world is not seeing very good news. Without a murmur, things have started to hurt at the long end of the government yield ...

Feb 25, 2016

Macronomics: Indian QE Reappears as RBI Balance Sheet Growth Hits 15%, But This Might Just Buffer The Storm Later This Year

In Macro news, we have a new theme in town: the Indian QE. What you will see is: 1) Ooh, Credit Growth Started To Perk Up! 2) But Wait, What’s Happening ...

Feb 18, 2016

Macronomics: Forex Reserve Data Shows Weak RBI Intervention as FII Exits and Slowing Inflows Hit The Rupee

In Macro News today, we take a look at what’s happening with the Rupee. What’s on for today: • Is the RBI Buying or Selling Dollars? • FII ...

Feb 15, 2016

Macronomics: Foreign Investors Show Accelerating Selling, as Macro Investing Trends Reverse

Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have been selling. India’s been struggling with levels of capital outflow that continued through November and ...

Jan 11, 2016

Macronomics: How the Current Account Deficit Reveals The Dark Picture For The Rupee in 2016

A Macro look at the Current Account Deficit (Data from RBI’s July to September 2015 data release) reveals how the trends indicate big rupee stress ahead. ...

Dec 28, 2015

Macronomics: The Story of the FCNR Swap and Why It Will Haunt Us In 2016

This is a story that’s purely fiction, and figments of my imagination. There are certainly elements linked to living people, but none of the following ...

Dec 11, 2015

Macronomics: Rupee Falls To Key Technical Levels, and Bond Yields Rise To Highest Since Rate Cut; Which is More Worrying?

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Nov 28, 2015

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