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85 ArticlesCrisis 2008

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Welcome to Subprime Phase 3

After Phase 1 of subprime in Aug 2007, and Phase 2 in Feb 2008, we are now going into Phase 3 of the crisis. I’ll explain later about why I think so, ...

Dollar Rises and FIIs Sell

So the dollar has risen like crazy. From 39.9 a couple weeks back, to 42.5 today. And getting stronger. Is this FII profit booking? Heavy dollar buying by ...

Can’t Believe Financial Statements Anymore

From FT (tip: Marc’s blog): Rules regarding how banks account for off-balance sheet interests are “irretrievably broken”, a senior group of ...

Of Arrogance and Humility

Sometimes a online page pisses me off. Like when I dug into Ajit Dayal in my “Dishonest Truths” post. A little harshly, no doubt. I don’t ...

The End Of The Road For Ambac and MBIA?

This is a non-India post. But it has some significance to the Indian markets. Ambac and MBIA are bond insurers in the US – called “monolines” ...

ICICI Bank: What’s The Subprime Impact?

So how much does ICICI stand to lose if the news is correct? (Ref: ICICI subprime losses at 1000 cr.). ICICI’s share dropped 5% to Rs. 970. They made ...

The First Real Subprime Loss: ICICI Bank Gets Hit

So it seems ICICI Bank has around 1000 cr. ($260 million) of losses due to US subprime. ICICI Bank Ltd., India’s second- largest bank, had a ...

ABXes Hitting New Lows

The Markit ABX indices, which are based on asset backed securities, are trading at new lows. This is the graph for the ABX based on loans (rated AAA!) made in ...

The Madness of Insurer Downgrades

The US madness is poised to hit us very soon. Note that I say poised to hit us – it has not quite hit us, and it has not quite hit America either. This ...

Subprime Hits India

From Rediff: State Bank of India, ICICI Bank , Bank of Baroda and Bank of India are set to book mark-to-market losses on the exposures of their foreign offices ...