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4402 ArticlesDeepak Shenoy

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Bond Baba: The Pecking Order is Capital Gains > Interest > Dividend

The stats that Bond Baba is looking at today: Rs. 90,00,000 crores (90 trillion) are in fixed deposits at banks. Of this, individuals own about Rs. 25,00,000 ...
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RBI: 12.44 Lakh Crore From Old Notes is Back. And Bank Credit Growth Has Collapsed.

The RBI has said, in a quick meeting note, that old notes worth Rs. 12.44 lakh crore have been returned to banks between November 10 and December 10. ...
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The Market Stabilization Scheme And What It Means

One of the costs of demonetization – and the cash withdrawal limits on banks – is that there’s a lot of money in the banking system now. This ...
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Bond Baba: Bond Prices Have Fallen. The Fixed Income Portfolio Needs To Move To Ultra Short Terms

Bonds got battered today. After RBI said no to a rate cut, bond yields rose. The 10 year was quoting at 6.17% and closed at 6.41% – a 0.24% increase in ...
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RBI Doesn't Cut Rates, Spooks Bonds and Stocks From Inflation Fears

RBI hasn’t cut rates at all. We were wrong. In the policy statement, the RBI has kept rates the same at 6.25% (Repo). The reverse repo rate is 5.75%. The ...
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You Can Opt Out of OTP for Small Transactions, But You Should Not.

Sick of OTPs? RBI has a new notification. You can say NO to the One Time Passwords that you need to key in every time you do an online transaction, but only ...
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Macronomics: Industrial Bank Credit Contracts Even Before Demonetisation, Banks Still Love Real Estate Borrowers

Today’s Macro Data isn’t about demonetization. It’s about pre-demonetization. Tomorrow’s the RBI policy and it looks like there’s ...
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India's PMI Contracts For The First Time Since 2013

The Nikkei Markit India Composite PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) shows a decline in November, to a contraction. The graph is like this: Above 50 is expansion, ...
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Chart: 10 Year SIP Returns on Sensex and Nifty are Less Than 8%

Demonetisation has had an impact on the markets, for sure, with November being a lousy month and markets falling. In effect, the 10 year SIP return on the ...
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GDP Data: Government Expenditure Pushes GDP Up to 7.3% In Q2, Slowing Growth in Manufacturing and Financial Sectors

The GDP data released recently by MOSPI shows growth at 7.3% in real terms (post inflation). This probably means little now that there is a big hit to the ...
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